12 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1411
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kowol
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1390
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kowol
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.