12 Jul · 13:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1410
FormLWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kowol
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1299
FormLWWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Kowol
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)