12 Jul · 13:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1586
FormWWWWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Oracz
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1331
FormLLLWL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+255
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+255)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)