12 Jul · 12:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1558
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kolek
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1412
FormLWWLW
66%
34%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)