12 Jul · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1503
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1572
FormWWLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)