12 Jul · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1497
FormLLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1589
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H14-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-4)