12 Jul · 13:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1417
FormLWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kolek
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1555
FormLWWWW
35%
65%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H36-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-26)