12 Jul · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1380
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Suchecki
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1309
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)