12 Jul · 14:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1529
FormWLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Oracz
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1366
FormLWLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)