12 Jul · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1568
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kubiak
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1519
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Kubiak covers set handicap as favourite 71% (31)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)