12 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1519
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mucha
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1457
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Kwiatkowski goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Mucha
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)