12 Jul · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1358
FormWWLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1623
FormLLWLL
24%
76%
⚡ Cover lean · Tkaczyk🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~73 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+265
H2H46-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+265)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-14)