12 Jul · 15:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1402
FormLLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kowol
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1306
FormLWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Kowol
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)