12 Jul · 15:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1467
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dabrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1423
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 25% · 3.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H8-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)