12 Jul · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1492
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Bernacki
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1319
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)