12 Jul · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1375
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Iwasyszyn
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1307
FormWLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H42-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-30)