12 Jul · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1737
FormWWWLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Rutkowski
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1557
FormWLLWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+180
H2H24-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-20)