13 Jul · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1508
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mucha
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1450
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Kwiatkowski goes over total as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Mucha
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)