12 Jul · 18:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1397
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gronowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1378
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Gronowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.