12 Jul · 19:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1582
FormLLWLL
42%
58%
🌟Pruszkowski covers set handicap as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)