12 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1517
FormWLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Oracz
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1310
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+207
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+207)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)