12 Jul · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1413
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kostyk
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kostyk
ELO 1534
FormLWWWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Kostyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)