12 Jul · 20:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1402
FormLWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Krupa
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1496
FormLLWWW
40%
60%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 85% (13)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H15-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-6)