12 Jul · 19:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1457
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Adamus
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1408
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H8-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)