12 Jul · 20:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1390
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1413
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.