Mariusz Baron vs Pawel Adamus — TT Elite Series

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12 Jul · 19:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1474

3-2Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Pawel Adamus

ELO 1465

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 53%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-2 — the underdog won.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Pawel Adamus — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Baron favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 81.5

95 points played

Over

Set handicap

Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Baron −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.97

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

3.7

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Pawel Adamus.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 50% → final 99%

Pawel Adamus ▼

Biggest swing 60 ptsBaron recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games