Mariusz Baron vs Wojciech Urban — TT Elite Series

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12 Jul · 23:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1474

3-0Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Wojciech Urban

ELO 1424

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Urban at 50%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-0 — the underdog won.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Wojciech Urban — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Baron favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 80.5

60 points played

Under

Set handicap

Baron −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Baron −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.59

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

5.9

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Urban.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 54% → final 95%

Wojciech Urban ▼

Biggest swing 49 pts59 points · 3 games