13 Jul · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1650
FormWWLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Szostok
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1465
FormLLWLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+185
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)