13 Jul · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1500
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krupa
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1424
FormLWWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)