13 Jul · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1619
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Gumulinski
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1481
FormWLWWL
65%
35%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 75% (20)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H86-75
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (86-75)