13 Jul · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1654
FormWWWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Szostok
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+238
H2H25-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+238)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-7)