13 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1390
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1419
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H21-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.