13 Jul · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1618
FormLWLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Gumulinski
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
70%
30%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 75% (20)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H69-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-27)