13 Jul · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1527
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Slawomir
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1474
FormLWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Slawomir
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)