13 Jul · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1258
FormLLLWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Pyrek
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1494
FormWLLWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~73 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+236
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+236)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)