13 Jul · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1546
FormLWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Ptak
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1396
FormWLLWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Ptak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~80 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)