13 Jul · 09:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1648
FormWWLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Poliniewicz
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1489
FormLLWLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H52-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (52-11)