13 Jul · 09:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1518
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1609
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~82 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H15-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-4)