13 Jul · 10:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1594
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wichowski
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1561
FormWWLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 45% · 2.21· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.