13 Jul · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1505
FormWWWLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Pyrek
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1190
FormLWLLL
80%
20%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~70 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+315
H2H16-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+315)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-2)