13 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1576
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skotniczny
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1561
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.