13 Jul · 10:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1522
FormWLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Bernacki
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1391
FormLWLLW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~82 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)