13 Jul · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1407
FormWLWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Oracz
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1604
FormWLWWL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~79 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)