13 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1462
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Solilo
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1426
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.