13 Jul · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1320
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1410
FormWWLWL
40%
60%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H12-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-10)