13 Jul · 18:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1639
FormLWLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Strowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1771
FormLLWWL
36%
64%
🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 69% (52)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H45-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-26)