13 Jul · 17:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LJ
🇵🇱Lukasz Jarocki
ELO 1574
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Kolodziej
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1787
FormLLLWL
28%
72%
🌟Kolodziej covers set handicap as favourite 62% (106)
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+213
H2H46-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+213)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-41)