13 Jul · 16:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1593
FormWWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wichowski
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1421
FormWLLWW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H89-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (89-24)