13 Jul · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1507
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ptak
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1550
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Ptak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~81 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)