13 Jul · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1504
FormWWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Sobel
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1319
FormWLLWL
69%
31%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+185
H2H23-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-8)